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US bond rally points to more affordable housing market
  + stars: | 2023-11-15 | by ( Amina Niasse | ) www.reuters.com   time to read: +3 min
REUTERS/Sarah Silbiger/File Photo Acquire Licensing RightsNEW YORK, Nov 15 (Reuters) - Growing confidence that U.S. bond yields have hit their peak and could head lower from here looks set to make the housing market more affordable in coming weeks. Some analysts think mortgage rates are positioned to come down even more quickly as the spread between conventional 30-year mortgage rates and the 10-year Treasury yield, now near the largest since the 1980s, normalizes. "That's part of the reason why mortgage rates are so elevated - because of that uncertainty on rates and the volatility of rates," Kiefer said. Reuters GraphicsMeasures of bond market volatility have fallen from earlier this year, and as bond yields show signs of falling further, home affordability may be set to improve. The median mortgage payment has risen steadily since 2022, and is now 11% higher than the current period last year.
Persons: Sarah Silbiger, Freddie Mac, Len Kiefer, Freddie Mac's, Kiefer, Joel Kan, Kan, Amina Niasse, Paul Simao Organizations: REUTERS, Federal, Treasury, Reuters, Mortgage Bankers Association, Thomson Locations: Washington , U.S, Treasuries
But after 10 rate hikes, the housing market — traditionally one of the most interest-rate-sensitive areas of the economy — is anything but predictable. Mortgage rates then continued to climb in tandem with the Fed’s hikes until November, when mortgage rates peaked at 7.08%, despite four subsequent rate hikes since then. Higher mortgage rates have reduced home inventoryIn theory, when mortgage rates go up, home prices should fall since it raises the cost of homeownership, thereby reducing demand. That’s partly because the higher mortgage rates that came after the Fed hiked rates created a major lock-in effect, said Kiefer. “That tells the crux of the story for why the housing market seems a bit odd right now,” Divounguy said.
Persons: , Orphe Divounguy, Banks, Freddie Mac, Charles Dougherty, Dougherty, , Len Kiefer, ” Kiefer, Kiefer, Divounguy, Zillow’s Divounguy, ” Divounguy Organizations: New, New York CNN, Federal Reserve, Zillow, Fed, National Association of Realtors, , CNN, homebuying Locations: New York, That’s, Wells Fargo, Realtor.com
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